Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.838974 2.207095 2.621015 3.119583 3.702429 4.360793 5.159288
2026-01-04 1.339368 1.812565 2.402777 3.187508 4.197240 5.445877 7.099014
2026-01-11 1.059260 1.583119 2.294300 3.317862 4.738216 6.622018 9.288196
2026-01-18 0.835084 1.362166 2.132595 3.319527 5.075200 7.543692 11.234706
2026-01-25 0.648193 1.146340 1.925425 3.201793 5.200314 8.158398 12.798263
2026-02-01 0.510412 0.973381 1.744170 3.079865 5.281473 8.693048 14.275480
2026-02-08 0.425555 0.869085 1.650281 3.073410 5.527677 9.485992 16.204586
2026-02-15 0.360542 0.785475 1.574429 3.079856 5.786107 10.312635 18.254018
2026-02-22 0.302652 0.702392 1.483532 3.041952 5.956493 11.002027 20.133092
2026-03-01 0.243190 0.602518 1.342530 2.887263 5.893602 11.280056 21.333231
2026-03-08 0.206069 0.542158 1.268243 2.847185 6.031737 11.914598 23.197500
2026-03-15 0.177370 0.494385 1.211255 2.831663 6.211158 12.634609 25.269476
2026-03-22 0.165584 0.485653 1.238976 3.000054 6.780698 14.144538 28.945016
2026-03-29 0.148924 0.460929 1.226740 3.080850 7.182073 15.373810 32.205934
2026-04-05 0.137273 0.446802 1.236757 3.212186 7.703265 16.881839 36.123658
2026-04-12 0.120209 0.413393 1.194009 3.215336 7.947767 17.858845 39.082881
2026-04-19 0.100282 0.366266 1.107794 3.101417 7.918049 18.271158 40.946798
2026-04-26 0.083435 0.323783 1.025350 2.983096 7.861670 18.618046 42.699320
2026-05-03 0.073243 0.300003 0.989347 2.976868 8.065003 19.533502 45.699718
2026-05-10 0.064815 0.279863 0.959868 2.983144 8.298271 20.532684 48.952337
2026-05-17 0.056263 0.256709 0.916985 2.946323 8.420245 21.292877 51.745577
2026-05-24 0.046098 0.224059 0.838171 2.796051 8.236299 21.339208 52.971764
2026-05-31 0.039986 0.205462 0.800132 2.757122 8.335525 22.048901 55.732663